Application Instructions:
Each prospective club member must
submit an on-line application that includes a favorite current investment recommendation.
To assist you in this process, we have provided the guidelines below.
INVESTMENT IDEA- Should
be about a 500 word (or more) explanation of your investment idea. The idea may
be equity or bond based and either long or short. We prefer ideas whose operations
are US based and follow US accounting standards. Value Investing does not necessarily
require or imply that a stock must be selling at a low P/E or a low Price/Book ratio
(although such opportunities may make fine investments). Excellent companies selling
at a discount to their intrinsic value may also qualify as "value" investments irrespective
of current P/E, Price/Book or similar ratios (e.g. the notion of value as articulated
by Buffett).
Your idea should include the appropriate valuation criteria for the selected company
that may involve some of the following measures:
|
Price/Earnings |
*Total Enterprise Value ("TEV")/EBIT |
Price/Book |
|
Forward P/E |
**TEV/(EBITDA-maintenance cap/ex) |
Price/Free Cash Flow |
|
Price/Sales |
Return on Equity and/or Assets |
TEV/Sales |
In addition, if any of the following valuation criteria apply to your idea, please
include analysis:
- Normalized earnings and/or free cash flow if different than current
- Future growth rates of sales, earnings and/or free cash flow
- Relative value to similar companies
- Private market value
- Break-up analysis
- Asset valuation
Heavy insider ownership, recent open market transactions, special option grants
or other evidence of extraordinary management incentives should be noted.
Please focus on any special insights that you may have into
the company or the particular situation. Detailed operating descriptions
can easily be found in the 10-K so space should not be wasted with readily available
information that is not central to the basic investment thesis.
CATALYST - should explain what action,
event, situation or future realization will cause the market to recognize the value
discrepancy that you observe. Examples could include an impending regulatory/legal
change, expected sale/merger, spin-off, split-off, restructuring, large buyback,
product introduction, management change, or other. Sometimes no catalyst is identifiable,
but value discrepancy is too large to ignore.
Definitions:
*TEV (Total Enterprise Value)-is defined as (market capitalization
(price times # of shares outstanding) plus interest
bearing debt plus preferred stock minus
excess cash)-this measure
is used when trying to compare companies with different debt levels. For example,
the relevant comparison of value between a home purchased for $1 million with 200
hundred thousand dollars in equity and an 800 hundred thousand dollar mortgage versus
the value of a home purchased for $1 million in cash with no mortgage can only be
made when the purchase price includes the amount of debt and equity used for the
purchase.
EBIT (Earnings before interest and taxes) -
EBIT is often referred to as operating income. Analyzing TEV/EBIT
is a shorthand way of looking at the multiple of total "cost" of the company (market
price of equity plus assumed debt) to the pre-tax cash flow generated by that company.
**EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)-
adds back the non-cash expenses associated with depreciation and amortization to
EBIT. This is often used as a way to measure how much cash a company generates to
cover interest expense. Amortization is often a legitimate add back to earnings
when trying to determine a company's cash generating ability. However, adding back
depreciation to cash flow is only valid when considered in conjunction with the
amount of capital spending (a cash outlay) necessary to sustain the current business
(see maintenance cap/ex). Therefore, EBITDA minus maintenance
cap/ex is a more accurate way of arriving at cash generated to cover
interest expense.
Maintenance cap/ex- this is a figure that represents
the amount of capital spending necessary to sustain a company's current level of
sales and earnings. Capital spending necessary for growth is not included in this
number. This number is usually not disclosed and must be estimated based on information
available through the company or other means. Using EBITDA as a cash flow measure
without subtracting the capital expenditures necessary to keep the business running
at the current level will always overstate a company's cash generating ability.
The cash outlay of maintenance cap/ex can be higher or lower than the non-cash depreciation
charge.
TEV/(EBITDA minus maintenance cap-x)
is sometimes a better way to determine the multiple of total "cost" of the company
(market price of equity plus assumed debt) to the pre-tax cash flow generated by
that company. Capital spending for growth should usually not penalize the analysis
of current cash flows because the benefits of that spending will not be seen until
a future time and did not influence the current year's earnings. It is the analyst's
job to determine whether the return from new capital spending for future growth
will be adequate to justify the amount of spending.
Free Cash Flow - this figure represents cash
available to shareholders before changes in working capital. It is computed by taking
the net income, adding back depreciation and amortization and subtracting maintenance
cap/ex.
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